James Spann: Warm, humid days for Alabama with scattered afternoon showers, storms

JUNE IN ALABAMA: A routine June pattern is setting up for the rest of the week across the Deep South — partly sunny days, highs in the mid to upper 80s and the risk of a passing afternoon shower or storm in a few spots. The chance of any specific spot seeing a shower or storm will be 20-30% daily, mainly between 2 and 10 p.m.

The Storm Prediction Center has north Alabama in a severe weather risk on Friday; a surface front will be positioned just to the north, and storms that form could produce strong, gusty winds. We are out of tornado season, and wind profiles don’t favor any tornado risk here. Showers and storms will be fewer over the southern counties.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The front will stay parked just to the north, and we will maintain the chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. The weekend won’t be a washout, and the sun will be out at times. Just expect a passing shower or storm from time to time, and where the storms form, they could be heavy, with potential for strong, gusty winds. The highest coverage of showers will be over the northern half of the state, and highs will be in the 80s.

NEXT WEEK: The weather will be pretty much what we expect in June in Alabama — partly sunny, warm, humid days with the chance of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms through the week. Highs remain in the 80s.

TROPICS: Showers and thunderstorms over the Florida peninsula, southeastern Georgia, the northwestern Bahamas and the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf waters are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. A nontropical low-pressure area is forecast to form from this system near the southeastern U.S. coast during the next couple of days.

If the low spends time offshore, it could gradually develop some subtropical or tropical characteristics late this week while moving northeastward at 10 to 15 mph. Regardless of development, periods of heavy rainfall are possible for coastal portions of the Carolinas through Friday. The National Hurricane Center gives it only a 10% chance of development.

The rest of the Atlantic basin is very quiet, including the Gulf.

ON THIS DATE IN 1995: Category 1 Hurricane Allison made landfall in the Big Bend area of Florida before tracking northward as an extratropical system. Several tornadoes touched down in Georgia, the most significant in the town of St. Marys. An elementary school was destroyed, and significant damage was also reported to several buildings at the Kings Bay Naval Submarine Base.

For more weather news and information from James Spann and his team, visit AlabamaWx.